diverse The Awards Circle section is home to all the awards news and related content throughout the year, which includes: Official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards, curated by diverse Senior Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Predictions pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect the personal preferences of any individual competitor. As other official (and unofficial) polls indicate, races are fluid and subject to change based on hype and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
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2025 Oscars Predictions:
Best Original Screenplay
Screenshot provided by Neon/YouTube
Weekly Commentary (Updated August 8, 2024)Originality often plays a significant role in this category, which often coincides with the Best Picture race.
Sean Baker may finally get recognition for his dark comedy “Anora.” Meanwhile, the World War II epic “Blitz” and the musical “Emilia Perez” are likely to be at the forefront of voters’ minds.
The deciding factor in this race is Jason Reitman’s “Saturday Night,” a retelling of the first episode of NBC’s long-running “Saturday Night Live” with a stellar cast. Reitman hasn’t been nominated since his work on “Juno” (directing) and “Up in the Air” (twice nominated for best screenplay and best director). Could this be his year to return to the awards circuit?
More is coming.
is readingAll Emmy Awards predictions in every category on Varieties Awards Circle.
The 97th Academy Awards will be held on Sunday, March 2. Below are the full list of films. All lists of films, titles, distributors and producers credited are not final and are subject to change.
**Indicates that the film has not yet been released or can be shown in 2025.
is readingYou can see all the Oscar predictions in all 23 categories on one page at: diverse Awards Circle: Oscars.
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Image Credit: Apple
The expected candidates are:
Rank Actor and movie 1 “Blitz(Apple Original Movies) – Steve McQueen 2 “Anora(Neon) – Sean Baker 3 “Emilia Perez(Netflix) – Jacques Audiard 4 “Real pain(Searchlight Images) – Jesse Eisenberg 5 “Saturday night(Sony Pictures) – Gil Kenan, Jason Reitman Oscar: Best Original Screenplay (diverse Prize Circle Predictions -
Image credit: Courtesy of Sony Pictures Classics
Next in line
Rank Actor and movie 6 “His three daughters(Netflix) – Azazel Jacobs 7 “sacred fig seed(Neon) – Mohammad Rasoulof 8 “All we imagine is light(Janus Films/Sideshow) — Payal Kapadia 9 “the end(Neon) – Joshua Oppenheimer, Rasmus Hesterberg 10 “We are grown up now(Sony Pictures Classics) – Minhal Paige Oscar: Best Adapted Screenplay (diverse Prize Circle Predictions -
Image rights: A24
Other competitors
Rank Actor and movie 11 “United(Amazon MGM) – Justin Kuritzkes 12 “in summer(Music Box Films) – Alessandra Lacorazza Samudio 13 “Maria(No US distribution) – Steven Knight** 14 “Didi(Focus Features) – Shawn Wang 15 “Better man(Paramount Pictures) – Michael Gracey, Oliver Cole, Simon Gleeson 16 “Snail Diaries(IFC Films) – Adam Elliott 17 “Thelma(Magnolia Pictures) – Josh Margolin 18 “patella(Sony Pictures Classics) – Rich Peppiatt, Liam Og or Hannayde, Naoise or Kyrieline, J.G. or Duchartay 19 “Evil does not exist(Sideshow) – Ryosuke Hamaguchi 20 “We live in time(A24) — Nick Payne Oscar: Best Adapted Screenplay (diverse Prize Circle Predictions -
Eligible Writers (Best Original Screenplay)
Image credit: Courtesy of Sundance Institute
**This list is incomplete and has not been finalized yet. There are no specific distribution or release dates for all films. All are subject to change.
- “All We Imagine Is Light” (Janus Films/Sideshow) – Payal Kapadia
- “Anora” (Neon) – Sean Baker
- “The Apprentice” (No U.S. Distribution) – Gabriel Sherman **
- “Babygirl” (A24) – Halina Rain
- “The Better Man” (Paramount Pictures) – Michael Gracey, Oliver Cole, Simon Gleeson
- “Between the Temples” (Sony Pictures Classics) – Nathan Silver, C. Mason Wells
- “The Bikeriders” (Focus Features) — Jeff Nichols
- “Bird” (Moby) – Andrea Arnold
- “Blink Twice” (Amazon MGM) – Zoë Kravitz, E.T. Feigenbaum
- “Blitz” (Apple Original Movies) – Steve McQueen
- Bob Marley: One Love (Paramount Pictures) – Terence Winter, Frank E. Flowers, Zach Baylin, Reinaldo Marcus Green
- “The Brutalist” (no US distribution) – Brady Corbett, Mona Fastvold
- “Challengers” (Amazon MGM) – Justin Kuritzkes
- “Civil War” (A24) – Alex Garland
- “Daddio” (Sony Pictures Classics) — Christy Hall
- “The Deb” (No U.S. Distribution) – Hannah Riley, Rebel Wilson**
- “The Deliverance” (Netflix) — David Coggeshall, Elijah Bynum
- “A Different Man” (A24) – Aaron Shimberg
- “Didi” (Focus Features) – Shawn Wang
- “Echo Valley” (Apple Original Films) — Brad Inglesby **
- “Eden” (No US Distribution) – Noah Pink**
- “Emilia Perez” (Netflix) – Jacques Audiard **
- “The End” (Neon) – Joshua Oppenheimer, Rasmus Hesterberg
- “Evil Does Not Exist” (Sideshow) – Ryosuke Hamaguchi
- “Fancy Dance” (Apple Original Films) — Erica Tremblay, Misiana Alice
- “Flow” (Janus Films/Sideshow) – Gints Zelbaludis, Matisse Kaza
- “Hard Truths” (Bleecker Street) – Mike Leigh
- “Heretic” (A24) — Scott Peck, Brian Woods
- “His Three Daughters” (Netflix) – Azazel Jacobs
- “Horizon: An American Saga — Chapter 1” (Warner Bros.) — John Bird, Kevin Costner, Mark Kasdan
- “I Saw the TV Glow” (A24) — Jean Schoenbrun
- “If” (Paramount Pictures) – John Krasinski
- “In the Summer” (Music Box Films) – Alessandra Lacorazza Samudio
- Janet's Planet (A24) – Annie Baker
- “K-Pops” (No U.S. Distribution) – Anderson Paak, Amazon Horses**
- Kinds of Kindness (Searchlight Pictures) – Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthymis Filippou
- “Kneecap” (Sony Pictures Classics) – Rich Peppiatt, Liam Og-O-Haneed, Naways O'Cairlyn, J.G. O'Douchartay
- “The Last Showgirl” (No U.S. Distribution) – Kate Gersten **
- “Longlegs” (Neon) – Osgood Perkins
- “Love Lies and Bleeds” (A24) – Rose Glass, Veronika Tovelska
- “Maria” (No US Distribution) – Steven Knight**
- “Meet the Barbarians” (no U.S. distribution) – Julie Delpy, Matthew Romani, Nicholas Slomka**
- Megalopolis (Lionsgate) – Francis Ford Coppola
- “The Snail Diaries” (IFC Films) – Adam Elliott
- “Millers in Marriage” (no U.S. distribution) — Edward Burns **
- “Misericordia” (Janus Films) – Alain Guiraudie **
- “Monkey Man” (Universal Pictures) – Dev Patel, Paul Angunawela, John Colley
- “My Old Ass” (Amazon MGM) – Megan Park
- “On Becoming a Guinea Fowl” (A24) – Rungano Nyoni
- “Parthenope” (A24) – Paolo Sorrentino
- “Quisling – The Final Days” (No U.S. Distribution) – Anna Pasch-Wig, Raven Lanneskog, Siv Rajendram Eliassen**
- “Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures) – Jesse Eisenberg
- “Relay” (No U.S. Distribution) – Justin Piasecki**
- “Riff Raff” (No U.S. Distribution) — John Pollono**
- “Rumors” (Bleecker Street) – Jay Madden, Evan Johnson, Galen Johnson
- “Sunset at Sasquatch” (Bleecker Street) – David Zellner
- “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures) – Gil Kenan, Jason Reitman
- “Sacred Fig Seed” (Neon) – Mohammad Rasoulof
- “Shirley” (Netflix) — John Ridley
- “The Shrouds” (no U.S. distribution) — David Cronenberg **
- “Spellbound” (Netflix) — Lauren Hynek, Elizabeth Martin, Julia Miranda
- “Stopmotion” (IFC/Shudder) — Robert Morgan, Robin King
- “Matter” (Mobi) – Coralie Fargat
- “Thelma” (Magnolia Pictures) – Josh Margolin
- “Tuesday” (A24) – Dayna O'Pucic
- “We're All Grown Up Now” (Sony Pictures Classics) – Minhal Baig
- “We Live in Time” (A24) – Nick Payne
- Woman of the Hour (Netflix) — Ian McAllister MacDonald
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More info (Academy Awards: Best Original Screenplay)
Photo credit: Rich Polk for Variety
Category Winner 2024“Anatomy of a Fall” (Neon) – Arthur Harari & Justin Triet
2024-2025 Oscars Calendar and Schedule (All Dates Subject to Change)
- Eligibility Period: January 1, 2024 – December 31, 2024
- General Entry, Best Image, RAISE Submission Deadline: Thursday, November 14, 2024
- Governors Awards: Sunday 17 November 2024
- Initial voting begins Monday, December 9, 2024, at 9 a.m. PT.
- Initial voting ends on Friday, December 13, 2024, at 5 p.m. PT.
- Oscars Shortlist Announcement: Tuesday, December 17, 2024
- Eligibility period ends: Tuesday, December 31, 2024
- Voting for nominations begins Wednesday, January 8, 2025, at 9 a.m. Pacific Time.
- Voting for nominations ends Sunday, January 12, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT.
- Oscar Nominations Announced: Friday, January 17, 2025
- Oscar Nominees Luncheon: Monday, February 10, 2025
- Final voting begins Tuesday, February 11, 2025 at 9 a.m. PT.
- Final Voting Ends: Tuesday, February 18, 2025, 5pm PST
- Scientific and Technical Awards: Tuesday, February 18, 2025
- The 97th Academy Awards: Sunday, March 2, 2025
Oscars Predictions Categories
Oscars 2024 Predictions (diverse Awards Circle About the Oscars
The Academy Awards are the highest professional awards in the Hollywood film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-strong membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary film executives, film editors, makeup and hair designers, marketing and public relations, general members, general members (artists' representatives), music, producers, production design, short films, animation, sound, visual effects, and writers.
