diverse The Awards Circle section is home to all the awards news and related content throughout the year, which includes: Official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards, prepared by diverse Senior Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Predictions pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect the personal preferences of any individual competitor. As other official (and unofficial) polls indicate, races are fluid and subject to change based on hype and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
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2025 Oscars Predictions:
Best Supporting Actor
Thelma
Sundance Festival
Weekly Commentary (Updated July 28, 2024)It's hard to rate any of the supporting categories because we never know which artists will stand out.
What we know so far, at least based on the source material and early publicity, is that Stanley Tucci (“Conclave”) and Samuel L. Jackson (“The Piano Lesson”), two beloved veteran actors, are said to deliver stellar performances in their respective films.
The first trailer for James Mangold's “A Complete Unknown” features three-time Oscar nominee Edward Norton, who could also be in contention for his first Oscar.
The buzz around Ridley Scott's Gladiator sequel continues, with the possibility that lead actor Denzel Washington will be in the film, replacing the supposed supporting role played by Joaquin Phoenix in the 2001 Best Picture winner. If so, that would mean co-stars Pedro Pascal and Joseph Quinn could be in the mix.
Larger ensembles, like Jason Reitman's “SNL: 1975” and Rammell Ross's “Nickel Boys,” can also put one or two cast members in contention.
There will be a lot to analyze as the race progresses. Sit tight.
is readingAll Emmy Awards predictions in every category on Varieties Awards Circle.
The 97th Academy Awards will be held on Sunday, March 2. Below are the full lists. All film, title and distributor listings are not final and are subject to change.
**Indicates that the performer may be cast in a lead or supporting role, and/or the film may open in 2025.
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Image rights: A24
The expected candidates are:
Rank Actor and movie 1 Samuel L. Jackson — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix) 2 Stanley Tucci — “The Forum” (Focus Features) 3 Edward Norton — “Totally Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures) 4 Clarence MacLean — “Sing Sing” (A24) 5 Kieran Culkin — “Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures) ** Oscar: Best Supporting Actor (diverse Prize Circle Predictions -
Image credit: Screenshot provided by Neon/YouTube
Next in line
Rank Actor and movie 6 Pedro Pascal — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) 7 Lamorne Morris — “SNL: 1975” (Sony Pictures) 8 Mark Edelstein – “Anora” (Neon) 9 Yura Borisov – “Anora” (Neon) 10 hugh grant – “Heretic” (A24) Oscar: Best Supporting Actor (diverse Prize Circle Predictions -
Image credit: Kyle Kaplan/Focus Features
Other competitors
Rank Actor and movie 11 Denzel Washington — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) ** 12 Brian Thierry Henry — “The Fire Within” (Amazon MGM) 13 david diggs — “Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion) 14 Jay O. Sanders — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix) 15 Stephen Graham — “Blitz” (Apple Original Movies) 16 John Lithgow — “The Forum” (Focus Features) 17 Tom Hardy — “Cyclists” (Focus Features) 18 Richard Roundtree — “Thelma” (Magnolia Pictures) 19 drew starkey — “Queer” (no US distribution) ** 20 Ray Fisher — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix) Oscar: Best Supporting Actor (diverse Prize Circle Predictions -
Image Credit: ©Warner Bros./Courtesy of Everett Collection
Also in dispute
Rank Actor and movie 21 Jeremy Strong — “The Apprentice” (no US distribution) ** 22 Nicholas Hoult — “The Order” (Vertical Entertainment) 23 Joseph Quinn — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) 24 Brendan Gleeson – “Joker: Two Folies” (Warner Bros.) 25 Chris Hemsworth – “Furiosa: The Mad Max Saga” (Warner Bros.) 26 Butler Austin — “Dune: Part II” (Warner Bros.) 27 Josh O'Connor — “Challengers” (Amazon MGM) ** 28 Mike Faist — “Challengers” (Amazon MGM) ** 29 Willem Dafoe — “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchlight Pictures) 30 Dennis Quaid — “The Article” (Mobi) Oscar: Best Supporting Actor (diverse Prize Circle Predictions -
Eligible Actors (Best Supporting Actor)
Image Credit: ©Warner Bros./Courtesy of Everett Collection
**This list is incomplete and has not been finalized yet. There are no specific distribution or release dates for all films. All are subject to change.
- Toby Jones – “The Actor” (Neon) **
- Yura Borisov – “Anora” (Neon)
- Mark Edelstein – “Anora” (Neon)
- Jeremy Strong – “The Apprentice” (No U.S. Distribution) **
- Antonio Banderas – “Baby Girl” (A24)
- Harris Dickinson – “Baby Girl” (A24)
- Jean Reno – “Baby Girl” (A24)
- Michael Keaton – “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” (Warner Bros.) **
- Jono Davis – “The Better Man” (Paramount Pictures) **
- Tom Hardy – “The Bikeriders” (Focus Features)
- Barry Keoghan – “Bird” (Mobi)
- Franz Rogowski – “Bird” (Moby)
- Harris Dickinson – “Blitz” (Apple Original Movies)
- Elliot Heffernan – “Blitz” (Apple Original Movies)
- Stephen Graham – “Blitz” (Apple Original Movies)
- Mike Faist – “Challengers” (Amazon MGM)
- Josh O'Connor – “Challengers” (Amazon MGM)
- Wagner Moura – “Civil War” (A24)
- Jesse Plemons – “Civil War” (A24)
- Edward Norton – “Totally Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
- John Lithgow – “Conclave” (Focus Features)
- Stanley Tucci – “Conclave” (Focus Features)
- Hugh Jackman – “Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios)
- Wesley Snipes – “Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios)
- Channing Tatum – “Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios)
- Adam Pearson – “A Different Man” (A24)
- Javier Bardem – “Dune: Part II” (Warner Bros.)
- Josh Brolin – “Dune: Part II” (Warner Bros.)
- Austin Butler – “Dune: Part II” (Warner Bros.)
- Christopher Walken – “Dune: Part II” (Warner Bros.)
- Edgar Ramirez – “Emilia Perez” (Netflix)
- Brian Tyree Henry – “The Fire Within” (Amazon MGM)
- Jude Law – “Firebrand” (Roadside Attractions)
- Owen Teague – “Friend” (No US Distribution) **
- Chris Hemsworth – “Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga” (Warner Bros.)
- Pedro Pascal – “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
- Joseph Quinn – “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
- Denzel Washington – “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) **
- Paul Bettany – “Here” (Sony Pictures)
- Hugh Grant – “Heretic” (A24)
- Jovan Adepo – “His Three Daughters” (Netflix)
- Jay O. Sanders – “His Three Daughters” (Netflix)
- Ryan Reynolds – “IF” (Paramount Pictures)
- Brendan Gleeson – “Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Brothers)
- Harry Lawty – “Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Brothers)
- Joe Alwyn – “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchlight Pictures)
- Mamoudou Athie – “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchlight Pictures)
- Willem Dafoe – “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchlight Pictures)
- Jesse Plemons – “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchlight Pictures) **
- Aran Murphy – “Clara and the Sun” (Sony Pictures) **
- Andy Samberg – “Lee” (Roadside Attractions)
- Haluk Bilginer – “Maria” (No US Distribution) **
- Giancarlo Esposito – “Megalopolis” (Lionsgate)
- Shia LaBeouf – “Megalopolis” (Lionsgate)
- Jon Voight – “Megalopolis” (Lionsgate)
- Daveed Diggs – “Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion)
- Fred Hitchinger – “Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion)
- Hamish Linklater – “Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion)
- Scoot McNairy – “Nightbitch” (Searchlight Pictures)
- Willem Dafoe – “Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson – “Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
- Nicholas Hoult – “The System” (Vertical Entertainment)
- Gary Oldman – “Parthenope” (A24) **
- Corey Hawkins – “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
- Samuel L. Jackson – “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
- Drew Starkey – “Queer” (No U.S. Distribution)**
- Kieran Culkin – “True Pain” (Searchlight Pictures) **
- Charlie Plummer – “Get Back” (No US Distribution)**
- John Turturro – “The Next Room” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Clarence MacLean – “Sing Sing” (A24)
- Paul Raci – “Sing Sing” (A24)
- Nicholas Braun – “SNL: 1975” (Sony Pictures)
- Willem Dafoe – “SNL: 1975” (Sony Pictures)
- Taylor Grey – “SNL: 1975” (Sony Pictures)
- Cooper Hoffman – “SNL: 1975” (Sony Pictures)
- Lamorne Morris – “SNL: 1975” (Sony Pictures)
- Dylan O'Brien – “SNL: 1975” (Sony Pictures)
- J.K. Simmons – “SNL: 1975” (Sony Pictures)
- Corey Michael Smith – “SNL: 1975” (Sony Pictures)
- Finn Wolfhard – “SNL: 1975” (Sony Pictures)
- Jim Carrey – “Sonic the Hedgehog 3” (Paramount Pictures)
- Dennis Quaid – “The Substance” (Mobi)
- Richard Roundtree – “Thelma” (Magnolia Pictures)
- Jonathan Bailey – “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
- Jeff Goldblum – “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
- Pedro Pascal – “Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
- Demian Bichir – “Bloodless” (No US Distribution)**
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More info (Academy Awards: Best Supporting Actor)
Photo credit: Rich Polk for Variety
Category Winner 2024Robert Downey Jr. – “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
2024-2025 Oscars Calendar and Schedule – Full awards season calendar here.
- Eligibility Period: January 1, 2024 – December 31, 2024
- General Entry, Best Image, RAISE Submission Deadline: Thursday, November 14, 2024
- Governors Awards: Sunday 17 November 2024
- Initial voting begins Monday, December 9, 2024, at 9 a.m. PT.
- Initial voting ends on Friday, December 13, 2024, at 5 p.m. PT.
- Oscars Shortlist Announcement: Tuesday, December 17, 2024
- Eligibility period ends: Tuesday, December 31, 2024
- Voting for nominations begins Wednesday, January 8, 2025, at 9 a.m. Pacific Time.
- Voting for nominations ends Sunday, January 12, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT.
- Oscar Nominations Announced: Friday, January 17, 2025
- Oscar Nominees Luncheon: Monday, February 10, 2025
- Final voting begins Tuesday, February 11, 2025 at 9 a.m. PT.
- Final Voting Ends: Tuesday, February 18, 2025, 5pm PST
- Scientific and Technical Awards: Tuesday, February 18, 2025
- The 97th Academy Awards: Sunday, March 2, 2025
Oscars Predictions Categories
2024 Oscars Predictions (diverse Awards Circle About the Oscars
The Academy Awards are the highest professional awards in the Hollywood film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-strong membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary film executives, film editors, makeup and hair designers, marketing and public relations, general members, general members (artists' representatives), music, producers, production design, short films, animation, sound, visual effects, and writers.
