Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
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2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Comedy Series
Commentary: FX’s “The Bear” has emerged from a historic inaugural season, after claiming 10 Emmys, including the coveted outstanding comedy series award. After shattering the record of most wins for a first season, surpassing Prime Video’s “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel,” which secured eight, people at the network are very optimistic for its next awards run.
Yet, amidst the dominance of recent Emmy sweepers like “Schitt’s Creek,” “The Crown,” “Succession,” and “Ted Lasso,” no show has returned to replicate such a remarkable feat. This leaves the upcoming TV awards season notably open, especially with the return of last year’s nominees: ABC’s mockumentary “Abbott Elementary” and Hulu’s mystery series “Only Murders in the Building,” both of which have yet to be properly awarded.
FX is also strategically positioning itself to reintroduce the former nominated “What We Do in the Shadows” into the conversation and aims for a long-deserved series mention for the final season of the critically acclaimed “Reservation Dogs.”
Adding to the mix is the sentimental appeal of Max’s “Curb Your Enthusiasm,” set to conclude its series run on April 7. The show, spearheaded by Larry David, has garnered nominations for 10 out of its 11 seasons in the comedy eeries category, in addition to accumulating a total of 47 nominations. But with only two wins: one for directing in 2003 and another for editing in 2012, will the TV Academy fully embrace it this time around?
Let’s also not forget the return of the twice-nominated “Hacks” from Max, which has been said to be “better than ever” by those who’ve watched parts of this third season. We fully expect Jean Smart and Hannah Einbinder to be back in the mix once again.
Several new contenders have entered the fray this year, including Netflix’s “The Gentlemen” starring Theo James and Apple’s “Palm Royale” featuring Kristen Wiig, both of which could have pockets of support to get them into the lineup.
Paramount+ is banking on nostalgia with the “Frasier” reboot, hoping the TV Academy’s fondness for the original multicam series will translate into recognition once again. Additionally, Paramount+ is backing its Australian-based comedy “Colin From Accounts,” backed by a dedicated fanbase.
Traditional broadcast networks are also vying for attention, with CBS bolstering “Ghosts” as its audience grows, NBC aiming high with its family comedy “Extended Family,” and the rebooted second season of “Night Court.”
Lots of more shows worth considering as voters catch up on their favorite shows.
Read: All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety’s Awards Circuit.