Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Television Movie
MR. MONK’S LAST CASE: A MONK MOVIE — Pictured: (l-r) Tony Shalhoub as Adrian Monk, Melora Hardin as Trudy — (Photo by: Steve Wilkie/PEACOCK)
Steve Wilkie/PEACOCK
Commentary (April 4, 2024): The “TV movie” isn’t what it used to be.
The landscape of TV movies has evolved significantly. What was once the predominant format for prestigious television has now been overshadowed by limited series for the past two decades. Nonetheless, in this year’s race, there are critically acclaimed films across various genres that will play a significant role, and showcase high quality filmmaking worth celebrating.
Three out of the five PGA-nominated films in the best-streamed or televised movie category are eligible and poised as strong contenders for recognition. A standout among these is Matthew López’s romantic-comedy “Red, White & Royal Blue” from Prime Video, showcasing star-making turns from Taylor Zakhar Perez and Nicholas Galitzine.
In recent years, winners in this category such as “Dolly Parton’s Christmas on the Square,” “Chip ‘n Dale: Rescue Rangers,” and “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” have tended towards comedic themes. However, following Hulu’s “Fire Island” last year, another hightly entertaining LGBTQ feature that narrowly missed securing the win, the Amazon film may offer the right balance of dramatic depth and prestige to make a notable impact in this competitive field.
The industry welcomed the return of Tony Shalhoub in his iconic role as Adrian Monk, garnering positive reception, which positions Peacock’s original “Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie” as a notable force.
“Quiz Lady,” directed by Jessica Yu and premiered at the Toronto International Film Festival in September 2023, is supported by Hulu. This film boasts major stars like Awkwafina and Sandra Oh, who also serve as producers alongside Will Ferrell, generating significant buzz.
Read: All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety’s Awards Circuit.
